Nominal GDP Target for the United States?

By Clynton López on November 17, 2016

During the last seven years credit volumes did not grow as as in previous liquidity periods, despite having the federal reserve interest rates close to 0%. This means the US economy is not expanding.

Click here to continue reading

Changing the Chinese Economic Model

By Roberto Morales Chang on November 14, 2016

If banks could understand the opportunities that could be created by slightly changing the current scheme, China coud grow at a pase faster than 5%.

Click here to continue reading

The Strengthening of the Dollar and the Upcoming US elections Mean Tough Times for Mexico

By Edgar Ortiz on November 9, 2016

Since early 2016, producer prices have been growing at increasing rates. High production costs create another obstacle for the struggling industrial sector.

Click here to continue reading

China Burns Through Its Foreign Reserves Defending the Yuan

By Daniel Fernández on November 6, 2016

The yuan depreciated by nearly 8% since May 2015: it had been appreciating since the last time the exchange rate was established.

Click here to continue reading

Inflation Target or GDP Target: More Ideology?

By Clynton López on November 2, 2016

Today, the central bank debate focuses on whether they should continue to use the inflation target as the main objective for monetary policies or if it should change to a nominal GDP target.

Click here to continue reading

The Strengthening of the Dollar and the Upcoming US Elections Mean Tough Times for Mexico

By Edgar Ortiz on October 3, 2016

Another measure affecting the industrial sector is the Producer Price Index, which does not bring good news for industries. Since early 2016, producer prices have been growing at increasing rates.

Click here to continue reading

The Strength of the Spanish Economy Surprises Amidst Disappointing Global Growth

By Ángel Martín Oro on September 26, 2016

Bond gains have yet to reach the ground, and the 10-year yield dropped below 1%. By contrast, IBEX 35 recorded losses by over 20%, in annual terms; a number that is not far away from European references.

Click here to continue reading

The Financial System Does Not Give Way To Draghi’s Blackmail

By Daniel Fernández on September 18, 2016

The private sector has done its job: it has been able to reduce debt and create wealth. The public sector has fallen behind, as countries still have significant public deficits.

Click here to continue reading

The US Economy: Same as It Ever Was?

By Clynton López on September 5, 2016

The annualized quarterly GDP is growing, but it has been growing at a lower rate since the third quarter of 2015. Commercial and industrial credit is growing at a rate of an economy that is not expanding.

Click here to continue reading

Forty-Five Years After the Gold Standard: A Failed Experiment

By Daniel Fernández on August 15, 2016

Unfortunately, there is nothing more permanent than temporary emergency measures. We are still living with a 45-year-old monetary experiment in which central banks have no direct link to gold.

Click here to continue reading

Get our free exclusive report on our unique methodology to predict recessions

Don’t Miss Any of Our Articles

Receive our latest articles and reports in your inbox.

No thanks. At the moment I prefer not to receive anything. »

logo H UFM
instituto-juan-de-mariana-400

Edificio Académico E-505
Calle Manuel F. Ayau (6 Calle final), zona 10
Guatemala, Guatemala 01010
Telephone: (+502) 2338-7723/24
mtrends@ufm.edu

This project is made possible by a grant from the John Templeton Foundation | © 2015 - 2017 Universidad Francisco Marroquín | webmaster@ufm.edu | (cc) BY-NC-ND