Is 2019 the New 2006?

By Daniel Fernández on July 12, 2019

When the yield curve inverted in 2006, analysts said that “this time it’s different,” that the US economy was solid. Some can be heard making the same claims in 2019. History doesn’t repeat itself, but it does rhyme, and 2019 appears to be rhyming with 2006.

Click here to continue reading

Are the Sanctions Causing Venezuela’s Deterioration?

By Jon Aldekoa on June 10, 2019

Is the United States responsible for the recent increase in Venezuela’s mortality rate and decreasing calorie intake?

Click here to continue reading

Will China Reverse Its Trade Surplus with the United States?

By Diego Santizo on May 21, 2019

China’s trade surplus with the US continues to grow despite Trump’s rhetoric. Will this trend continue?

Click here to continue reading

The Real Public Debt in the United States and Europe

By Kike Briega, CFA on April 23, 2019

If future pensions and health services were accounted for as debt, how much would the public debt amount to in the United States and in other countries?

Click here to continue reading

The Forgotten Crisis: Nicaragua on the Edge of the Abyss

By Jorge Eduardo García García on April 12, 2019

By how much did the Nicaraguan economy fall in 2018? How much is it expected to fall in 2019? Find the answers to these questions by clicking here.

Click here to continue reading

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: Friend or Foe to Private Investment?

By Jorge Eduardo García García on March 26, 2019

What the new airport’s cancellation, the strengthening of Pemex, and the energy-market reform tell us.

Click here to continue reading

What Is Really Happening with Venezuela’s Gold?

By Kike Briega, CFA on March 3, 2019

Why is Venezuela trying to sell its gold? How much gold does Venezuela have left? How long can the Venezuelan government survive on gold reserves?

Click here to continue reading

A Chinese Bomb: Are We Really on the Threshold of Another Global Financial Crisis?

By Diego Santizo on February 18, 2019

As the weakest link in the world economy, could China be the place where the world’s economic expansion breaks down?

Click here to continue reading

The Other War between the US and China: Investment in Research and Development

By Diego Santizo on February 12, 2019

Who is more advanced in the global R&D race: China or the US? Who gets the most benefit from research and development?

Click here to continue reading

The Half-Truths of the OXFAM Report

By Kike Briega, CFA on February 6, 2019

Why doesn’t OXFAM’s latest report tell the whole truth about poverty and inequality in the world?

Click here to continue reading

Get our free exclusive report on our unique methodology to predict recessions

logo-footer-400
instituto-juan-de-mariana-400

Edificio Académico E-505
Calle Manuel F. Ayau (6 Calle final), zona 10
Guatemala, Guatemala 01010
Telephone: (+502) 2338-7723/24
mtrends@ufm.edu

This project is made possible by a grant from the John Templeton Foundation | © 2015 - 2017 Universidad Francisco Marroquín | webmaster@ufm.edu | (cc) BY-NC-ND