A Chronicle of Financial Repression (2008 to 2023)

By Daniel Fernández on January 24, 2023

How do we hold bureaucrats responsible for eroding the purchasing power of our money?

Click here to continue reading

US Companies’ Earnings Plummet

By Daniel Fernández on November 18, 2022

US companies see their profits fall by 10 percent in two quarters

Click here to continue reading

Nobel Prize in Economics 2022: The Failures of the Diamond-Dybvig Model

By Daniel Fernández on October 28, 2022

The Nobel Prize in Economics is becoming increasingly politicized

Click here to continue reading

Nobel Prize in Economics 2022: A Guide for Dummies

By Daniel Fernández on October 24, 2022

A quick guide to understand the Diamond-Dybvig model of two of the three recent Nobel Prize winners

Click here to continue reading

A Guide to the UK Financial Panic

By Daniel Fernández on October 7, 2022

The 2022 recession claims its first victim: the UK financial sector

Click here to continue reading

Inflation or Deflation: Which Is More Likely?

By Olav Dirkmaat on September 2, 2022

Last year, I wrote that the current inflation has a fiscal rather than a monetary origin. In other words, we would not have the same inflation in the absence of fiscal stimulus, while we would have the same inflation in the absence of monetary stimulus. For the same reason, I have affirmed and continue to affirm that I view it as unlikely for current inflation rates to begin to consistently exceed two digits, as was the case in the 1970s. This same pandemic fiscal stimulus has caused serious problems in a variety of markets: sea, land and air freight, electronic products and their components, automobiles, and others, which have added fuel to the inflationary fire. This is the origin of the current inflation we are experiencing, and I will try to make my case with data. The Current Inflation In recent months, the rise in the general price level has…

Click here to continue reading

Stagflation Returns to the United States

By Luis Pedro Mendizabal on August 25, 2022

Recession and inflation are already here. Will unemployment follow?

Click here to continue reading

The United States Enters a Recession

By Daniel Fernández on August 19, 2022

The world’s largest economy enters a recession as orthodox economists try to change the definition of recession

Click here to continue reading

Banking Panic in China

By Daniel Fernández on August 6, 2022

China’s real estate bubble is bursting, and its banks are feeling the effects

Click here to continue reading

Greedflation: Is Greed the Cause of Inflation?

By Luis Pedro Mendizabal on July 28, 2022

Before acknowledging their mistakes, politicians blame their favorite scapegoat

Click here to continue reading

Get our free exclusive report on our unique methodology to predict recessions

Don’t Miss Any of Our Articles

Receive our latest articles and reports in your inbox.

No thanks. At the moment I prefer not to receive anything. »

logo H UFM
instituto-juan-de-mariana-400

Edificio Académico E-505
Calle Manuel F. Ayau (6 Calle final), zona 10
Guatemala, Guatemala 01010
Telephone: (+502) 2338-7723/24
mtrends@ufm.edu

This project is made possible by a grant from the John Templeton Foundation | © 2015 - 2017 Universidad Francisco Marroquín | webmaster@ufm.edu | (cc) BY-NC-ND