The U.S. Money Market Is in Distress

By Jon Aldekoa on March 15, 2023

U.S. banks are increasingly resorting to the Fed’s discount window

Click here to continue reading

US Companies’ Earnings Plummet

By Daniel Fernández on November 18, 2022

US companies see their profits fall by 10 percent in two quarters

Click here to continue reading

The United States Enters a Recession

By Daniel Fernández on August 19, 2022

The world’s largest economy enters a recession as orthodox economists try to change the definition of recession

Click here to continue reading

The Fed Considers a Recession Possible in 2022

By Daniel Fernández on July 2, 2022

Turbulence is looming for the world economy. Even the Fed has indicated that a recession is possible in its forecasts

Click here to continue reading

Is 2019 the New 2006?

By Daniel Fernández on July 12, 2019

When the yield curve inverted in 2006, analysts said that “this time it’s different,” that the US economy was solid. Some can be heard making the same claims in 2019. History doesn’t repeat itself, but it does rhyme, and 2019 appears to be rhyming with 2006.

Click here to continue reading

Will China Reverse Its Trade Surplus with the United States?

By Diego Santizo on May 21, 2019

China’s trade surplus with the US continues to grow despite Trump’s rhetoric. Will this trend continue?

Click here to continue reading

The Real Public Debt in the United States and Europe

By Kike Briega, CFA on April 23, 2019

If future pensions and health services were accounted for as debt, how much would the public debt amount to in the United States and in other countries?

Click here to continue reading

Two Economic Fallacies in Trump’s Anti-Trade Speech

By Edgar Ortiz on June 8, 2018

Why are Trump’s anti-trade arguments invalid?

Click here to continue reading

The Real Reason Behind the U.S. Trade Deficit (and Why Trump’s Trade War Is Insane)

By Olav Dirkmaat on April 9, 2018

Trump’s trade war borders on insanity. Discover the real reason of the U.S. trade deficit.

Click here to continue reading

The Fed Ignores the Yield Curve (But the Yield Curve Is Warning for a Recession)

By Olav Dirkmaat on December 20, 2017

Why is Fed Chair Janet Yellen wrong about the yield curve?

Click here to continue reading

Get our free exclusive report on our unique methodology to predict recessions

Don’t Miss Any of Our Articles

Receive our latest articles and reports in your inbox.

No thanks. At the moment I prefer not to receive anything. »

logo H UFM
instituto-juan-de-mariana-400

Edificio Académico E-505
Calle Manuel F. Ayau (6 Calle final), zona 10
Guatemala, Guatemala 01010
Telephone: (+502) 2338-7723/24
mtrends@ufm.edu

This project is made possible by a grant from the John Templeton Foundation | © 2015 - 2017 Universidad Francisco Marroquín | webmaster@ufm.edu | (cc) BY-NC-ND