Does the Fed Follow Its Own Rules?

By Daniel Fernández on May 22, 2017

One of the most interesting discussions in the field of monetary theory concerns the role central banks play in the economy. There are multiple views regarding different issues: from questioning the mere existence of the central bank to the actual role a central bank should take.

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Cheap Oil and Why OPEC Can’t Do Anything About It

By Edgar Ortiz on May 4, 2017

Beyond the behavior of speculators or OPEC—which some consider a cartel, if there is anything we can learn is that the fall in oil prices responds to the forces of supply and demand. On the demand side, lower economic activity throughout the world, specially in China, has lowered the price of oil. Projections by the International Energy Agency show how demand weakened in 2014, although it rebounded in 2016.

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The Poor Economic Criterion for a Remittance Tax

By Estefanía Luján Padilla on March 23, 2017

With the persistence of the new president of the United States to build a wall and his expectation to make Mexicans assume the cost, new creative initiatives to find a way to make them pay it are starting to emerge.

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This Is What Businesses Are Doing with Record Corporate Debt

By Olav Dirkmaat on March 13, 2017

Last year, non-financial companies issued $674.3 billion in corporate debt, a new record high. Low interest rates are wrecking the allocation of capital: the increase in debt is not used to invest, but rather to distribute cash to shareholders. However, there is one important caveat to this whole scheme that will threaten the U.S. economy.

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Nominal GDP Target for the United States?

By Clynton López on November 17, 2016

During the last seven years credit volumes did not grow as as in previous liquidity periods, despite having the federal reserve interest rates close to 0%. This means the US economy is not expanding.

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Inflation Target or GDP Target: More Ideology?

By Clynton López on November 2, 2016

Today, the central bank debate focuses on whether they should continue to use the inflation target as the main objective for monetary policies or if it should change to a nominal GDP target.

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The US Economy: Same as It Ever Was?

By Clynton López on September 5, 2016

The annualized quarterly GDP is growing, but it has been growing at a lower rate since the third quarter of 2015. Commercial and industrial credit is growing at a rate of an economy that is not expanding.

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Is the U.S. Stock Market Overvalued?

By Daniel Fernández on July 7, 2016

Is now a good time to invest in the stock market? Is the U.S. stock market overvalued? Unquestionably, since this drop and compared to the Great Recession, securities have risen a great deal in price.

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The Recent Rise in Delinquency Rates on Bank Loans Is Shocking (Is a New Banking Crisis Imminent?)

By Olav Dirkmaat on June 27, 2016

The delinquency rate on loans is key in understanding banking. What percentage of loans is overdue for payment? And is a new banking crisis imminent?

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Are Banking Industry Returns at Peril?

By Roberto Morales Chang on June 23, 2016

There exist two industries that did not manage to reach analyst estimates and experienced a sharp decline in earnings: oil and the banking industry. The European Central Bank has once again decided to continue with negative interest rates and contribute to credit expansion where lowering of interest rates and increasing in borrowing are facilitated.

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