Sell In May

By Roberto Morales Chang on June 2, 2016

The efficient-market hypothesis becomes questionable with the phrase “sell in May and go away”, because if really the case, the market will have already reflected the available information and the value of the stock before May arrives.

Click here to continue reading

The U.S. and the Fall of the Federal Reserve

By Clynton López on May 26, 2016

Typically, it is believed that a nation’s central bank is the resolute decider of the economy of its nation. In today’s day and age, in the political-economic establishment of international bureaucracies, it is easy to envision the end of the world for some nations without the central bank. The Federal Reserve is the central bank of the United States. It serves as a decentralized entity broken up into 12 districts across the country and a Board of Governors in Washington D.C. Founded in 1913, its decisions throughout history have always proven to be controversial.

Click here to continue reading

Has the United States Recovered from the Recession?

By Clynton López on May 5, 2016

Perhaps the most important theoretical topic concerning the economy as a discipline is attempting to explain the idea of economic cycles. In practical terms, an economic cycle is understood as being a periodic fluctuation in national income, employment and prices. Successful, and sometimes not so successful, attempts at an explanation have been made in both the media and academic worlds.

Click here to continue reading

Are Stock Buybacks in the US Signs of a New Recession?

By Daniel Fernández on November 10, 2015

One of the big concerns on Wall Street is the large amount of share buybacks that corporations are currently engaging in. It’s generally thought that companies engage in buybacks when they have limited investment opportunities to deploy cash.

Click here to continue reading

California and Puerto Rico: Debt Restructuring? Greece?

By Clynton López on July 13, 2015

Creditors of private and government debt generally perform credit analyses, first to grant a loan or purchase bonds, and then eventually to evaluate debt restructurings.

Click here to continue reading

The Greek Crisis, the US Financial System, and Adverse Selection?

By Clynton López on June 22, 2015

Greece’s delayed payment on its debt, its possible default, and an eventual exit from the euro have been some of the most widely covered news stories in the media over the last weeks. What would be the implications of a Greek default? What would be the implications of an eventual Greek exit from the euro?

Click here to continue reading

Is the United States in a Real Economic Recovery?

By Clynton López on June 6, 2015

When talking about economic recovery, a distinction must be made between short-term and long-term effects. We’ll label as short-term effects those that last less than a year, and as mid and long term those that last more than a year. In practice, three to five years are needed to determine if effects are long lasting or not.

Click here to continue reading

Get our free exclusive report on our unique methodology to predict recessions

Don’t Miss Any of Our Articles

Receive our latest articles and reports in your inbox.

No thanks. At the moment I prefer not to receive anything. »

logo H UFM
instituto-juan-de-mariana-400

Edificio Académico E-505
Calle Manuel F. Ayau (6 Calle final), zona 10
Guatemala, Guatemala 01010
Telephone: (+502) 2338-7723/24
mtrends@ufm.edu

This project is made possible by a grant from the John Templeton Foundation | © 2015 - 2017 Universidad Francisco Marroquín | webmaster@ufm.edu | (cc) BY-NC-ND