Posts by Daniel Fernández

Is 2019 the New 2006?

When the yield curve inverted in 2006, analysts said that “this time it’s different,” that the US economy was solid. Some can be heard making the same claims in 2019. History doesn’t repeat itself, but it does rhyme, and 2019 appears to be rhyming with 2006.

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Does the Fed Follow Its Own Rules?

One of the most interesting discussions in the field of monetary theory concerns the role central banks play in the economy. There are multiple views regarding different issues: from questioning the mere existence of the central bank to the actual role a central bank should take.

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Are Oil Prices to Blame for the Venezuelan Crisis?

Many analysts are venturing to link the crisis that plagues the Venezuelan economy with the fall in the price of crude oil. With oil being one of the most important commodity in Venezuelan production and the country’s main export product, it seems that the fall in the price would bring any country with an economic structure similar to Venezuela’s into a crisis. Similarly, many assume that the problems in Ecuador have the same root as those in Venezuela, although less pronounced.

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