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China Q3 2017 Report

Economic growth and financial risk go hand in hand

As economic activity stabilized in most sectors, in the third quarter we have detected indicators that could signal the future sources of risk for the Chinese economy. Consumer and producer prices continue the same trends shown in recent months. On the other hand, prices in the real estate sector show a slowdown and even a decrease. The balance sheets of the Central Bank of China continue to expand at a good pace. Furthermore, the appreciation of the yuan has helped moderate capital outflows from China. Should it continue this way, it could reach a neutral point and could return to the path of stability in the financial system. In this report we corrected errors in certain indicators and introduced a new one that indicates Chinese financial stability: loans under stress over total reserves available to the country.


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Contents

  • Liquidity position of financial intermediaries
  • Liquidity position of households
  • Liquidity position of businesses
  • Credit volume
  • Money supply
  • Economic activity
  • Employment
  • Prices
  • Interest rates
  • Yield curve
  • General outlook

Author

  • Gabriel Colombinas
    Gabriel Colominas holds a degree in Economics at the University of Barcelona. In 2013 he received a research grant from the Von Mises Institute in Barcelona, ​​developing a study on economic growth, the financial sector and the impact of monetary freedom in Andorra. He worked for one year as an analyst of Corporate Finance and Venture Capital in the GVC Gaesco Group. Since July 2015, he works as a financial analyst for several investment funds.
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