Skip to content
UFM Market Trends
  • EN
    • Cambiar a español
  • ARTICLES
  • REPORTS
  • ABOUT
  • SIGN IN
  • SUBSCRIBE

Eurozone Q2 2016 Report

Chronicle of a Banking Death Foretold

The Eurozone’s growth remains above 1.5%. Although still far from its potential, the economy has been resisting the poor worldwide economic performance. The Eurozone’s economy has been operating at two speeds: while Spain and Ireland lead the area’s economic growth, Greece has the worst economic performance and is currently in a recession.


Download now

The Eurozone’s growth remains above 1.5%. Although still far from its potential, the economy has been resisting the poor worldwide economic performance.

The Eurozone’s economy has been operating at two speeds: while Spain and Ireland lead the area’s economic growth, Greece has the worst economic performance and is currently in a recession.

The leading indicators of economic activity are all positive.

The ECB’s monetary policy is damaging the banking sector. Currently, the almost 4% of the bank’s profit are taken away because of monetary policies. We estimate that in a year this figure could reach 13.5%.

Consumer prices, and, in particular, production prices have deflationary trends. However, they do not have a negative impact on economic performance.

There is an increase in credit to households, and a decrease in credit to government. Fiscal consolidation has a “negative expulsion effect,” in which the credit that is not given to the public sector ends up in the hands of families and businesses.

The spread of the yield curve narrows, still far from its possible minimum. However, if the figure becomes negative, there are greater chances for a crisis in the Eurozone.

Click here to download

Don’t Miss Any of Our Articles

Receive our latest articles and reports in your inbox.


    No thanks. At the moment I prefer not to receive anything. »

    logo H UFM
    instituto-juan-de-mariana-400

    Edificio Académico E-505
    Calle Manuel F. Ayau (6 Calle final), zona 10
    Guatemala, Guatemala 01010
    Telephone: (+502) 2338-7723/24
    mtrends@ufm.edu

    This project is made possible by a grant from the John Templeton Foundation | © 2015 - 2017 Universidad Francisco Marroquín | webmaster@ufm.edu | (cc) BY-NC-ND