{"id":1594,"date":"2016-11-29T15:10:03","date_gmt":"2016-11-29T21:10:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/trends.ufm.edu\/en\/?page_id=1594"},"modified":"2017-02-09T12:23:01","modified_gmt":"2017-02-09T18:23:01","slug":"subscribe-2","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/trends.ufm.edu\/en\/subscribe-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Subscribe"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1>\n\t\tActionable Research to Outsmart the Market<br \/>\n\t<\/h1>\n<p><strong>For investors, economists, bankers, risk managers and the curious:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Get your free subscription on UFM Market Trends now to have an\u00a0edge over the market! Receive our unique reports every quarter in your mailbox. 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We will never share your data with commercial third parties.<\/p>\n<h3>Country Analysis<\/h3>\n<p>We analyze the most relevant economies, covering 90% of global GDP: United States, Eurozone, China, Mexico, Spain, Central-America (including: Guatemala).<\/p>\n<h3>Quarterly Reports<\/h3>\n<p>We publish our analyses on a quarterly basis, four times a year.<\/p>\n<h3>Innovative Combination of Indicators<\/h3>\n<p>We give you an unfair advantage by combining some of our unique and distinctive indicators.<\/p>\n<h2>\n\t\tAn innovative combination of indicators<br \/>\n\t<\/h2>\n<h4>Financial sector liquidity gap<\/h4>\n<p>The degree of maturity mismatching shows whether the economy is on an unsustainable path.<\/p>\n<h4>Yield curve spread<\/h4>\n<p>The best predictor of recessions since 1950, especially in combination with our liquidity gap, will warn you in time for the next recession.<\/p>\n<h4>Equity Q Ratio<\/h4>\n<p>The most robust measure of financial overvaluation. The higher Q, the greater the likelihood of negative returns.<\/p>\n<h4>Financial Institution Balance Sheet Indicators<\/h4>\n<p>Non-performing loans, net interest margins, TED spread (the difference between \u201crisk-free\u201d interest rates and the financing costs of financial intermediaries) and more.<\/p>\n<h4>Liquidity of households and businesses<\/h4>\n<p>Debt-to- income ratios of both households and businesses.<\/p>\n<h4>Demand in cyclical industries<\/h4>\n<p>The demand in cyclical industries is generally driven by credit. Any unsustainable growth of credit can be observed in these sectors in an early stage.<\/p>\n<h2>\n\t\tA Free Subscription Gives You an Unfair Advantage<br \/>\n\t<\/h2>\n<h4>\n\t\tThis is how you benefit<br \/>\n\t<\/h4>\n<h4>Avoid Doing the Wrong Thing at the Wrong  Time<\/h4>\n<p>From \u201807 to \u201808, the S&amp;P 500 fell over 56%. And\u00a0from \u201900 to \u201802, the NASDAQ collapsed, resulting\u00a0in a loss of almost 75%. UFM Market Trends will help you to overcome the tendency of the crowd to do the wrong thing at the wrong time.<\/p>\n<h4>Back-tested Indicators<\/h4>\n<p>With our unique methodology, we would have been able to warn you in time for the 2000 recession (dotcom bubble), the Great Recession of 2008, and the 2012 European debt crisis.<\/p>\n<h4>Unique Insights and Methodology<\/h4>\n<p>Traditional financial newsletters focus on obvious\u00a0\u2013 often lagging \u2013 indicators that have little to no\u00a0predictive power. We have carefully\u00a0developed and refined our set of economic\u00a0indicators for many years.<\/p>\n<h4>At a Single Glance<\/h4>\n<p>Our reports are structured so that you can read\u00a0its most important takeaways in less than a\u00a0minute. Our recession likelihood quadrant shows\u00a0how different economies relate to each other\u00a0and how likely a recession in each one of them is.<\/p>\n<h4>Common Sense Economics<\/h4>\n<p>We do not pretend to impress you with fancy\u00a0mathematical models. We are vigilant about\u00a0what is happening in the real world. We look at\u00a0the seen and the unseen.<\/p>\n<h4>Pattern Predictions<\/h4>\n<p>We tell you when the (economic) tide turns in\u00a0the world\u2019s most important markets. The market\u00a0does not care about the past, but about the\u00a0future. You do too.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/trends.ufm.edu\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/boettke_peter_334x476-150x150.jpg\" alt=\"boettke_peter_334x476\" itemprop=\"image\"  \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>\u201cYou stole my project! This is one of those things I always wanted to do.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Peter Boettke<\/strong>, professor of economics George Mason University<\/p>\n<h5>ABOUT<\/h5>\n<h3>Who We Are<\/h3>\n<p>UFM Market Trends was founded in 2014 by the Francisco Marroqu\u00edn University (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ufm.edu\" target=\"_blank\">ufm.edu<\/a>) in Guatemala to monitor the likelihood of economic crises. With the support of the Sir John Templeton Foundation, the project has grown rapidly. 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No spam \u2013 we promise. We will never share your data with commercial third parties.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Actionable Research to Outsmart the Market For investors, economists, bankers, risk managers and the curious: Get your free subscription on UFM Market Trends now to have an\u00a0edge over the market! Receive our unique reports every quarter in your mailbox. Signing up takes less than a minute and is completely free of charge! Signup for a FREE subscription We respect your privacy. No spam \u2013 we promise. We will never share your data with commercial third parties. Country Analysis We analyze the most relevant economies, covering 90% of global GDP: United States, Eurozone, China, Mexico, Spain, Central-America (including: Guatemala). Quarterly Reports We publish our analyses on a quarterly basis, four times a year. Innovative Combination of Indicators We give you an unfair advantage by combining some of our unique and distinctive indicators. An innovative combination of indicators Financial sector liquidity gap The degree of maturity mismatching shows whether the economy is&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"anio":"","mes":"","id_estadisticas":"","newsletter_link":"","portada_informe":"","subtitulo":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1594","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/trends.ufm.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1594","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/trends.ufm.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/trends.ufm.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/trends.ufm.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/trends.ufm.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1594"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/trends.ufm.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1594\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1813,"href":"https:\/\/trends.ufm.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1594\/revisions\/1813"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/trends.ufm.edu\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1594"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}