Changing the Chinese Economic Model

By Roberto Morales Chang on November 14, 2016

If banks could understand the opportunities that could be created by slightly changing the current scheme, China coud grow at a pase faster than 5%.

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China Burns Through Its Foreign Reserves Defending the Yuan

By Daniel Fernández on November 6, 2016

The yuan depreciated by nearly 8% since May 2015: it had been appreciating since the last time the exchange rate was established.

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Why Should Shadow Banking in China Concern Us?

By Roberto Morales Chang on July 21, 2016

The 2008 crisis was provoked by a credibility gap created by financial instruments used during transactions conducted by shadow banking entities. These instruments are called credit derivatives and examples include credit default swap (CDS) and asset backed securities (ABS).

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China Reaches Debt Limit

By Daniel Fernández on June 6, 2016

Once again, the economy of China is the exception, with continuous leveraging which could be coming to an end. In turn, the economies of Japan and Germany have been in a continuous deleveraging process since 1999.

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Mixed Feelings about China

By Ricardo Rivera on May 9, 2016

The rise of China’s stock market in early April signaled that the world’s second largest economy is not in the terrible conditions that many believed. The recovery of exports in March—which broke the streak of nine months without any growth—seems to have convinced many that China is not going through a hard landing.

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China: New Year, New Life

By Ricardo Rivera on April 18, 2016

The yuan’s devaluation against the dollar, the stock markets tumultuous start of the year, and unexpected reactions to new regulations from central authorities: this stumbling of the world’s second largest economy has not sat well with Xi Jinping, who already expressed dissatisfaction with how China’s Securities Regulatory Commission handled last year’s crisis. The stock market’s dismal start in 2016, along with the debut and suspending of the “circuit breaker” system, cost Xiao Gang his job—the very same man who designed it and who, until last week, was the Director of China’s Securities Regulatory Commission.

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The Fed and China

By Ricardo Rivera on January 10, 2016

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by one quarter of a percentage point last week, the greatest increase in almost a decade. The increase did not take the markets by surprise, as it was already expected to happen following the small crisis in the Chinese stock market. There is fear and anxiety about how increased interest rates could impact the world’s second largest economy.

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Obama and the Trade Deficit with China

By Ricardo Rivera on September 28, 2015

On September 25, President Obama and President Xi gave a joint press conference in front of the White House. Obama was the first to speak. After welcoming Xi Jinping and referring to how much both have worked to increase cooperation between the United States and China, he said, “Since I took office, American exports to China have nearly doubled and now support nearly one million American jobs.” Clearly, Obama was pointing out what he considered to be one of the achievements of his administration, but a look at the numbers tells a different story.

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China liberalizing its financial system?

By Ricardo Rivera on August 31, 2015

Interest rate policy in China is decided by the Monetary Policy Committee of The People’s Bank of China (PBOC). The committee recently cut its benchmark interest rate by 0.25% and lowered the benchmark deposit rate from 3.5% to 3.25%.

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The Chinese Stock Market, a learning problem

By Ricardo Rivera on August 3, 2015

The Chinese stock market’s turbulent journey continues and it’s unlikely to end any time soon. To understand the problem faced by the Chinese government, it’s important to highlight a few points that provide a different perspective.

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